Using the Box-Jenkins Methodology to Build A Standard Model for Forecasting Agricultural Imports in Iraq

  • Hadeel Ghaleb Hassan Al-Douri
  • Bassem Fadel Latif Al Douri

Abstract

    The study aimed to predict Iraqi agricultural and food imports for the period (2021-2027) using the Box-Jenkins methodology. The autocorrelation and partial functions were used for the purpose of ensuring the stability of time series and testing the residual correlation, histogram and probabilistic distribution of residuals of the estimated model for the purpose of ensuring the suitability of the chosen model The study found an increase in both Iraqi agricultural and food imports during the studied period, and in light of the results reached, the study recommends maintaining the growth of this sector at 1.5%, 1.2% for agricultural and food imports, respectively..

Published
Mar 31, 2022
How to Cite
AL-DOURI, Hadeel Ghaleb Hassan; AL DOURI, Bassem Fadel Latif. Using the Box-Jenkins Methodology to Build A Standard Model for Forecasting Agricultural Imports in Iraq. Tikrit Journal for Agricultural Sciences مجلة تكريت للعلوم الزراعية, [S.l.], v. 22, n. 1, p. 61-77, mar. 2022. ISSN 2664-0597. Available at: <http://tujas.tu.edu.iq/index.php/ph/article/view/569>. Date accessed: 28 may 2022. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.25130/tjas.v22i1.569.
Section
Economic and Extension Sciences